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Olympic Betting

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Olympic Betting

Postby Geoff » Sat Apr 28, 2012 11:19 am

I'm not really a gambling man. The usual once a year bet on the Grand National without much success. Indeed my horse this year not only fell but was then shot - poot thing! I hope our hurdlers stay on their feet in London!

The latest odds (note Bev, Okoye is 33/1)

7/4 Jessica Ennis (Heptathlon) 2/1 Mo Farah (5000m)
2/1 Mo Farah (10000m) 11/4 Dai Greene (400m Hurdles)
9/2 Phillips Idowu (Triple Jump) 5/1 Yamile Aldama (Triple Jump)
7/1 Holly Bleasdale (Pole Vault) 10/1 Christine Ohuruogu (400m)
10/1 Tiffany Porter (100m Hurdles) 12/1 Jenny Meadows (800m)
14/1 Martyn Rooney (400m) 14/1 Chris Tomlinson (Long Jump)
14/1 Hannah England (1500m) 16/1 Shara Proctor (Long Jump)
20/1 Greg Rutherford (Long Jump) 20/1 Lisa Dobriskey (1500m)
25/1 Andy Turner (110m Hurdles) 25/1 Perri Shakes-Drayton (400m Hurdles)
33/1 Michael Bingham (400m) 33/1 Michael Rimmer (800m)
33/1 Andrew Baddeley (1500m) 33/1 Martyn Bernard (High Jump)
33/1 Lawrence Okoye (Discus) 33/1 Marilyn Okoro (800m)
40/1 Jodie Williams (100m) 40/1 Jodie Williams (200m)
40/1 Jemma Simpson (800m) 50/1 Andrew Osagie (800m)
50/1 William Sharman (110m Hurdles) 50/1 Nathan Woodward (400m Hurdles)
50/1 Tom Parsons (High Jump) 50/1 Jack Green (400m Hurdles)
66/1 Steven Lewis (Pole Vault) 100/1 James Brewer (1500m)
100/1 James Shane (1500m) 100/1 Chris Thompson (5000m)
100/1 Chris Thompson (10000m) 100/1 Rhys Williams (400m Hurdles)
100/1 Laura Turner (100m) 150/1 Dwain Chambers (100m)
150/1 Harry Aikines-Aryeetey (100m) 150/1 Christian Malcolm (200m)
150/1 Marlon Devonish (200m) 150/1 Danny Talbot (200m)
200/1 Mark Lewis-Francis (100m)

http://sports.williamhill.com/bet/en-gb ... -Gold.html

Good odds for Okoye, Rutherford and Lewis. Have they missed Grabarz? If he's at 200/1 it might be worth a pound or two.
Geoff
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby tootingmick » Sat Apr 28, 2012 11:28 am

Seven years ago I was really tempted to put
a few quid on a teenager called Jessica Ennis
to win a medal at the 2012 Olympics.
I didn't.
Just how sick do I feel now...............!
tootingmick
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Ecosse » Sat Jul 14, 2012 9:32 pm

William Hill have Goldie Sayers at 66/1 to win gold and 12/1 to win a medal; these are ridiculous odds even before today! To put in in perspective they have both the Women's 4x100 team and Nicola Sanders at at 8/1 to win a medal.

I reckon Sayers should be around 20/1 and 3/1 for a medal.

CO looks not too bad at 16/1 too.
Ecosse
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Tuckin » Sun Jul 15, 2012 12:05 am

I think I'll steer clear of Jenny Meadows at 12/1. They may as well have prices for Lynn Davies or Garry Cook.
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby SteveK26 » Sun Jul 15, 2012 12:24 am

tootingmick wrote:Seven years ago I was really tempted to put
a few quid on a teenager called Jessica Ennis
to win a medal at the 2012 Olympics.
I didn't.
Just how sick do I feel now...............!


Mick,
Get down to your local bookmaker, (preferably one of the big four), and get a few quid on K J-T for the next Olympics.
Hopefully they will price her up at decent odds. And when she wins you wont feel so bad about missing out on Jess....
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Ecosse » Sun Jul 15, 2012 12:34 am

Goldie is now 20/1 and 6/1. Hopefully some got on before it changed!
Ecosse
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby ultragirl » Sun Jul 15, 2012 4:10 pm

33/1 Lawrence Okoye (Discus) 33/1
20/1 Greg Rutherford (Long Jump) 20/1

Might do a fiver on each and a fiver double, what do you think?
ultragirl
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Ecosse » Sun Jul 15, 2012 4:23 pm

Unfortunalty Okoye has come into 20/1 and Rutherford 4/1. I also see that Christine is down to 7/1 now!

I would say Okoye still looks good value 20/1. And afterTomlinson showing decent form yesterday 20/1 looks good too. Can't see past Mitchell Watt but you never know!
Ecosse
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby taffy » Sun Jul 15, 2012 4:24 pm

Who is offering 20/1 on Rutherord?
taffy
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Ecosse » Sun Jul 15, 2012 4:26 pm

taffy wrote:Who is offering 20/1 on Rutherord?


William Hill were in April. That's when I stuck my neck out with a huge £2.50
Ecosse
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby taffy » Sun Jul 15, 2012 4:30 pm

I think you may get a good return on that. IMO hes our best chance out of the big 4.
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Mr Halibut » Sun Jul 15, 2012 5:34 pm

You could still get Greg at 20/1 for a good couple of weeks after his DL win left him with the TWO world leading jumps. Some of the bookies seem to be a bit slow to respond to these things, but maybe they're paying a bit more attention now.
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby SteveK26 » Mon Jul 23, 2012 5:57 am

Possibly the best VALUE of the British competitors now would be....
Ohuorugu....7.6 (Betfair)
Shakes-Drayton....6.4 (Betfair)

I think Mo, Dai , Jess, Robbie and Greg are a bit too short in odds to back, even though they may well win.
Grabarz is fair value at 6.0 (Betfair)

I dont think any of the above offers great value, so it might be wise to look elsewhere.
SteveK26
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Ecosse » Mon Jul 23, 2012 5:15 pm

SteveK26 wrote:Possibly the best VALUE of the British competitors now would be....
Ohuorugu....7.6 (Betfair)
Shakes-Drayton....6.4 (Betfair)

I think Mo, Dai , Jess, Robbie and Greg are a bit too short in odds to back, even though they may well win.
Grabarz is fair value at 6.0 (Betfair)

I dont think any of the above offers great value, so it might be wise to look elsewhere.


Yeah I still reckon both Perri and Christine are still decent value at around 6/1 to 8/1 even though they could both be found at 25/1 last month.

Another with decent value is Shara Proctor who is currently 20/1 at bet365. We all know Reese is the favourite but Shara should be one of the athletes capable of taking gold if Reese slips up. I'd actually rate Shara's 6.95m at Birmingham as one of the top 3 or 4 best jumps of the year - I think the bookies are underating her by just looking at the top-lists. She also finished 3rd in the indoors this year whilst she was up against a lot of her main rivals. Bet365 allow you to e/w bet too.
Ecosse
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby SteveK26 » Mon Jul 23, 2012 10:11 pm

Ecosse
I use Betfair (since I live in NZ) and there is no market formed on womens long jump. Britney is available at 1.7 (!!) but no one else is realistically priced up yet.
Proctor is value at 20/1 (Bet365), perhaps I should open an account with them.

The big 4 bookmakers usually run scared of pricing up athletes until the events begin. Sometimes they do make errors in pricing, ie offer great value, probably because they dont employ experts in track and field (and therefore rely totally on ranking lists).
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Ecosse » Mon Jul 30, 2012 3:20 pm

Spotted another couple of good prices.

Germany 40/1 to finish top 3 in Men's 4x100
Holland 25/1 to finish top 3 in men's 4x100

The top 3 in this event should be nailed on but we know the relays are very unpredictable. These 2 will be looking for a medal if there is a dropped baton.

GB are 7/2!

Prices at Ladbrokes btw
Ecosse
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby stru » Sun Aug 05, 2012 6:31 pm

ohuruohu is now available at 9/1. it might be an idea to bet on her getting a medal rather than winning with Richards-Ross in the same race

also in the 100m hurdles, liu xiang is available at 7/4 which in my view is a great price. I fancy that he will produce on the big stage and beat Merritt

Farah has shortened to 5/4 for the 5000m after his 10000m success. Any views on his chance here?
stru
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby stru » Mon Aug 06, 2012 7:19 pm

any views on the 400m for men this evening? i am thinking that Santos at 5.8 with betfair might be worth a few quid. i know James will be the obvious favorite but he is no value and might have an off night.

Dai Greene is now available at 10/1 for the 400mH final. maybe bounce back tonight...

some useful info at stats and info at
http://www.trackandfieldnews.com/index. ... Itemid=115
http://www.olympicsbetzone.co.uk/
stru
 
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby mump boy » Mon Aug 06, 2012 11:30 pm

My friend who has more money than sense has offered to tie me £5000 to bet on Olympics !!

i don't really understand odds too much so i want some good certainties and also some long shots

Any ideas ??
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby SteveK26 » Tue Aug 07, 2012 8:17 am

On what I have seen so far , Mump, you need to think about backing athletes who are strong mentally. Or have the raw arrogance of youth.
Perri doen't have it, but Lawrence Okoye definately does.
I think Robbie Grabarz has it as well.
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Re: Olympic Betting

Postby Mr Halibut » Tue Aug 07, 2012 8:48 am

For long shots, it's worth looking for events that are prone to upsets - hurdles, relays, very technical field events. These are the events where you DON'T want to bet on the obvious winner at crap odds.

For a slightly silly patriotic bet, Okoye is 12/1 at bet365.

For the men's 4x1 you can get T&T at 33/1 at bet365, though Bledman has been crap so I dunno. William Hill have France at 3/1 for a podium finish.

Idowu is 7/1 at bet365 and William Hill. I wouldn't bet on him right now, but get ready to place a bet during TJ qualification this morning. If he looks good enough and the Americans don't look too scary, you can get a bet on quick before the bookies notice and cut his odds.
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