Now I’m even more confused!! If I’m a slower 400m runner (i.e. 47s) I’m expected to be able to run 1:42 than if I’m a faster 400m runner (44s = 1m44). But Rooney, in between those times, is predicted to run faster than Rudisha?
Here are times for Coe and Juantor…[Read more]
To LADYLOZ, LARKIN & STEVEK26
1) No my prediction is not a straight extrapolation of 400m speed, there is more to it than that.
2) It has been constructed by plotting the results of numerous races over the years. It is, therefore, empirical.
3) It only applies to elite runners i.e. men with a 400m time better than 47 secs
4) Two further facts…[Read more]
STEVEK26 asked for people’s thoughts on Rooney moving up to 800m, so here are mine.
I have advocated for some time that he should move up because his 400 PB is getting a bit dated. My database suggests that if his blunted speed is compensated with improved endurance he could be world class.
Using his best 400 this year 45.65 my figures would b…[Read more]
I agree with someone on another post, Martyn Rooney’s PB is getting a bit dated; so why not give the 800m another try. His average time over the most recent 3 races is 45.8 secs and that is, according to my model, the ideal speed component to break the 800m world record. I cannot predict his endurance; but one way to find out would be to give t…[Read more]
If you assume that the ratio of outdoor times to indoor times for middle distance women is .974 then Laura will lower the outdoor British Records as follows:
Laura already holds the Brit Record for outdoor 1500.
If she achieves the above times she will be gradually erasing Paula and Kelly from the record books. How far…[Read more]
My athletics model suggests that on her current form and jinx free, Laura could add the 1000m British record to the two (5000 & 3000) she has already claimed this year. My forecast of 2:29.40 would, in fact, be a world record and a training achievement for her coach
Nitro Athletics – Not for me.
I am afraid I can’t get excited about Nitro athletics. I do not think I would go to a meeting full of “Novelty” events. One or two novelty events might be OK providing they still test the athlete’s skill and/or fitness. For example, pursuit racing or racing behind a mechanical/electronic pacemaker. I know that the…[Read more]
Laura will profit from the experience.
An exciting race in Zurich tonight and although Laura Muir didn’t win I am sure she will profit from the experience. The commentator when reviewing the race highlighted a tactical error by not closing off the inside lane when she got to the front. I am not sure it made too much difference distance wise, b…[Read more]
Yes LARKIM, I should have said “maybe” rather than “must”
You clearly do not believe atmospheric conditions make any difference
I was searching for an explanation of the big difference in performance between Paris and Rio and couldn’t think of anything else.
MRME asks what will she do over 5000m?
My model suggests the following:
1 mile 4:14
Ultimate best dist:5k
France is a good place to be in July/August if you are an athlete particularly Monaco where numerous PB’s are set. It must be something to do with the atmospheric
conditions although Paris (St Denis) where Laura Muir…[Read more]
If Super Saturday is the memory from 2012 then I suppose Day 1 of the athletics programme could be described as Faltering Friday. Greg and Laura W scraped into the next round; K J-T had a poor shot put and Rooney was eliminated. Three of them can redeem themselves today, but Rooney has paid the price for idling down the back straight or am I…[Read more]
In an earlier post dpickup wrote I wonder what oldboy2 thinks of the splits in the Women’s 800m.
I have now had the opportunity to review the tape of the race and take unofficial splits for Semenya and Sharp. I make the following observations.
It is difficult to crticise someone that wins with such consummate ease and the t…[Read more]
I have not got a good copy of the race video, so will delay comment on splits until tomorrow. In the meantime here is an analysis comparing my forecast with the actuals.
Sharp 118.86 119.51 0.65
Semenya 115.32 116.54 1.22
Difference 3.54 2.97
Both girls ran slightly below form maybe due…[Read more]
An interesting case is Martyn Rooney
His current form of 46 translates to 100.82 with a split of 2.28
In other words he would beat David Rudisha .
Unfortunately, it is not as easy as just pressing a few buttons on a computer as his abortive attempt a couple of years back in Florida showed. He finished the race walking across the line. You…[Read more]
As always the Women’s 800m will be of interest with Sharp and Oskan-Clarke both involved. Although Lynsey has not recorded an outdoor time this year the 54.43 400m time last week looks like good form to me. In fact my 800m model suggests a possible race time of 1:58.86 as follows:
400m Race time 54.43
800m Race tim…[Read more]
The start of the 800m for men was a complete shambles.When the starter let them go the positionn was as follows:
Lanes 1 to 6 were on their marks
Lanes 7-9 were standing up with the pacemaker (Lane 9) facing the inside of the track
Two non competitors were standing on the track in lanes 1 nd 9
Daid Rudisha had his hands on his…[Read more]
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