As has been pointed out many times here 6/7 medals is the average going back decades and the competition only gets tougher every year.
2009 2-2-2 8th on the medal list
2011 3-3-1 6th
2013 3-0-3 7th
2015 4-1-2 4th
So 6 or 7 is par. Most people, I think, are expecting below par.
I don’t have a number myself but I do know that raising expections above par doesn’t make a lot of sense.
I guess the cautious/pessimistic predictions are based on Mo being our only banker which is understandable. However this is not Helsinki 2005 where we were scrabbling around for finalists. With a home crowd surely some of those who make finals will then get inspired.
5-7 sounds reasonable to me. 5 is probably more realistic but 7 is not outrageous with a bit of luck.
Would we say that 2012 inspired our athletes at home; we already knew of the Mo,Greg and Jess quality, but there was some lack of performance due to pressure of expectations; I see no great change in that respect currently; that is why I expect 3 medals probably and 4 maximum.
Pozzi and Laura have some outstanding talents to contend with.
I think we’ll see a good number of athletes make finals, maybe 20, but we will struggle to match the 7 medals from Beijing and Rio, its more likely to be 5-6, which wouldn’t be bad considering we’re without Ennis-Hill and Rutherford
Ujah 8th favourite at around 11/1 a medal.
Blake’s injury, if he still has one, would put him out of it and Simbine had a stinker in the heats, so Ujah can come a little closer to a medal, but you would have to be a massive optimist, and hope Bolt, Coleman or Gatlin mess up. 20C and sunny this evening but not fast sprinting weather.
well done to young Coleman. a silver after running his heart out all year in the NCAA s was most commendable. My view is that the Jamaican men will find the American steamroller in the sprints will come forward again after ten years of Jamaican dominance.
2 for Mo & 3 others coming from somewhere within the following (in order of events as they tend to be listed in results)-
Now that Pozzi and Bradshaw have gone for a Burton medal-wise. We are down to trying to get 3 medals out of 7 chances unless someone else produces a big surprise (I said I was being slightly optimistic!). I agree that Germany and Poland respectively are probably better bets for the women’s relay bronzes (assuming no US or JAM mishaps) while the Chinese and Japanese men tend to be more reliable at the exchanges and are not massively slower man-for-man than we are.